| CELEX | 52026AS52489 |
| Type | Avis institutionnel |
| Date | vendredi 13 février 2026 |
| Journal officiel | FR Série C |
| C/2026/2565 | 8.5.2026 |
AIDES D’ÉTAT - Danemark et Suède
Aide d’État SA.52489 (2018/FC) - Aide d’État présumée en faveur de PostNord Logistics - Danemark
Aide d’État SA.52658 (2018/FC) - Aide d’État présumée en faveur de PostNord Logistics - Suède
Invitation à présenter des observations en application de l’article 108, paragraphe 2, du traité sur le fonctionnement de l’Union européenne
(Texte présentant de l’intérêt pour l’EEE)
(C/2026/2565)
Par lettre du 13 février 2026, reproduite dans la langue faisant foi dans les pages qui suivent le présent résumé, la Commission a notifié au Danemark et à la Suède sa décision d’ouvrir la procédure prévue à l’article 108, paragraphe 2, du traité sur le fonctionnement de l’Union européenne en ce qui concerne l’aide susmentionnée.
Les parties intéressées peuvent présenter leurs observations dans un délai d’un mois à compter de la date de publication du présent résumé et de la lettre qui suit, à l’adresse suivante:
| Commission européenne |
| Direction générale de la concurrence |
| Greffe des aides d’État |
| 1049 Bruxelles |
Ces observations seront communiquées au Danemark et à la Suède. Le traitement confidentiel de l’identité de la partie intéressée qui présente les observations et/ou d’éléments de ces observations peut être demandé par écrit, en spécifiant les motifs de la demande.
Texte du résumé
Le 22 novembre 2018, l’association professionnelle Brancheorganisationen for den danske vejgodstransport (ci-après «ITD» ou la «plaignante») a déposé une plainte alléguant que la Suède et le Danemark avaient accordé certaines mesures d’aide d’État en faveur de PostNord Logistics A/S (ci-après «PNL»), une filiale de PostNord Group AB [filiale à 100 % de PostNord AB, elle-même détenue par la Suède (60 %) et le Danemark (40 %)].
Le 12 mai 2020, après un examen préliminaire, la Commission a adopté une décision constatant l’absence d’aide (ci-après la «décision de 2020»). Dans la décision de 2020, la Commission a constaté que: i) une déclaration figurant dans les rapports annuels de PNL de 2017 et 2018, dans le cadre de laquelle la direction de PostNord Group AB affirmait qu’elle fournirait «les apports en capital requis aux conditions du marché afin de garantir les ressources de liquidité nécessaires au cours du prochain exercice» n’impliquait pas l’octroi d’un avantage; ii) un apport en capital d’environ 15,4 millions d’EUR (115 millions de DKK) de PostNord Group dans PNL (ci-après l’«apport en capital de 2018» ou la «mesure») ne constituait pas une aide d’État; et iii) un prétendu subventionnement croisé entre Post Danmark et PNL consistant en l’utilisation gratuite de camions, d’installations de stockage et d’autres installations n’était pas établi, ce qui signifie que la mesure ne constituait pas une aide d’État. La Commission a conclu que l’apport en capital de 2018 faisait suite à l’analyse économique par PostNord Group du plan d’entreprise de PNL visant à remédier à ses résultats financiers négatifs et avait été décidé par le conseil d’administration de PostNord AB.
À la suite d’un pourvoi formé par ITD et la société de transport Danske Fragtmænd A/S, par arrêt dans l’affaire T-525/2020, le Tribunal a partiellement annulé la décision de 2020 en ce qui concerne l’apport en capital de 2018. Le Tribunal a jugé que l’examen par la Commission de l’apport en capital de 2018 était incomplet et insuffisant lorsqu’il s’agissait de déterminer s’il était imputable aux États danois et suédois.
La Commission a donc ouvert une enquête approfondie afin de déterminer si:
| — | l’apport en capital est imputable aux États danois et suédois en raison i) des liens organiques entre les États et PostNord AB, ii) de la nature des activités de PostNord AB, iii) de la supervision et du contrôle exercés par les États sur l’apport en capital approuvé par PostNord AB, du fait de l’existence d’un dialogue entre le conseil d’administration de PostNord AB et les États, et iv) d’autres indicateurs relatifs à la nature improbable de l’absence d’implication des États dans l’apport en capital, tels que le montant dudit apport; |
| — | l’apport en capital est conforme au marché, ce qui signifie qu’il est conforme au principe de l’opérateur en économie de marché et qu’un investisseur privé aurait procédé à cet apport en capital dans les mêmes circonstances, compte tenu notamment des antécédents financiers de PNL et des hypothèses contenues dans son plan d’entreprise; |
| — | si la mesure constitue une aide d’État, elle peut être considérée comme compatible avec le marché intérieur. |
La Commission examinera plus en détail les aspects susmentionnés.
Conformément à l’article 16 du règlement (UE) 2015/1589 du Conseil, toute aide illégale peut faire l’objet d’une récupération auprès de son bénéficiaire.
Texte de la lettre
The Commission wishes to inform Denmark and Sweden that, having examined the information supplied by your authorities on the measure referred to above, it has decided to initiate the procedure laid down in Article 108(2) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
1. PROCEDURE
| (1) | On 22 November 2018, Brancheorganisationen for den danske vejgodstransport (“ITD” or “the complainant”) (1) submitted a complaint alleging that Sweden and Denmark had granted certain State aid measures in favour of PostNord Logistics A/S (“PNL”) – a subsidiary of the PostNord Group AB (a wholly owned subsidiary of PostNord AB, which, in turn, is owned by Sweden (60%) and Denmark (40%)). According to the complaint, the alleged State aid to PNL consisted of:
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| (2) | Following further exchanges between ITD, the Danish and Swedish authorities and the Commission (4), on 12 May 2020, after a preliminary examination and thus without having initiated the formal investigation procedure, the Commission adopted a decision concerning the alleged measures covered in the complaint (the “2020 Decision” (5)). The 2020 Decision concluded that:
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| (3) | On 14 August 2020, ITD and Danske Fragtmænd A/S (8) (“Danske Fragtmænd”, and, together with ITD, the “applicants”) brought an action for the annulment of the 2020 Decision before the General Court. In support of their action, the applicants raised a single plea in law, alleging that the Commission had failed to initiate the formal investigation procedure provided for in Article 108(2) TFEU, despite the serious difficulties raised by the assessment of two of those measures, namely, the capital injection (see recital (2)(ii)), on the one hand, and the cross-subsidisation (see recital (2)(iii)), on the other. |
| (4) | By judgment in case T-525/2020 (9), the General Court partially annulled the 2020 Decision in so far as the Commission concluded, at the end of the preliminary examination procedure, that the 2018 capital injection did not constitute State aid. By contrast, the General Court dismissed the action in so far as it concerned the alleged cross-subsidisation assessed by the 2020 Decision (see recital (2) (iii)). |
| (5) | On 5 February 2024, the Danish and Swedish authorities had a meeting with the services of the Commission. During the meeting, the services of the Commission asked several questions regarding the imputability of the 2018 capital injection, to which the Danish and Swedish authorities provided a joint written reply on 6 March 2024. |
| (6) | On 21 March 2025, the Commission requested further information to the Danish and Swedish authorities. The Danish authorities replied on 15 May 2025, whereas the Swedish authorities replied on 17 April and 12 June 2025. On 1 October 2025, the Commission requested further information to the Danish and Swedish authorities. The Swedish authorities replied on 17 and 29 October 2025, whereas the Danish authorities replied on 20 October 2025. On 2 December 2025, the Commission requested further information to the Danish authorities, to which they replied on 12 December 2025. |
| (7) | The Commission adopts this Decision in order to comply with the General Court’s judgment in case T-525/20, in accordance with Article 266 TFEU. The present decision is limited to the measure regarding which the General Court annulled the 2020 Decision, namely the 2018 capital injection. The Commission had found in the 2020 Decision that that measure did not constitute aid. |
| (8) | On 15 and 17 July 2025, Denmark and Sweden, respectively, exceptionally agreed to waive their rights deriving from Article 342 TFEU, in conjunction with Article 3 of Regulation 1/1958 (10) and to have this decision adopted and notified in English. |
2. DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE MEASURE
2.1. The beneficiary
| (9) | The alleged beneficiary of the measure is PostNord Logistics A/S (PNL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of PostNord Group AB (“PostNord Group”) which, in turn, is a subsidiary of PostNord AB. The latter is co-owned by Denmark (40 %) and Sweden (60 %), while voting rights are shared 50-50 between those two States. The whole corporate group including all its subsidiaries is referred in this decision as “PostNord”. PNL’s activities were to provide traditional road freight services (pallets and groupage) and courier services to customers in Denmark and they ceased in 2024. |
2.1.1. PostNord
| (10) | PostNord AB was created following a merger between Post Danmark and Posten AB in 2009 (11). The intention behind the merger was to establish a more robust undertaking and to meet increasing pressure on the companies’ core product, i.e. the distribution of letters. It was expected that the merger would result in significantly reduced costs due notably to the sharing of IT and logistics infrastructure. The ownership structure is shown in Figure 1 below. Figure 1 PostNord's ownership structure
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| (11) | PostNord is active on the Danish, Swedish, Norwegian and Finnish markets of postal services and provides courier, cargo and logistics services in the Nordic region and in the rest of Europe. |
2.1.2. Decision making in the PostNord group
| (12) | Neither the Danish nor the Swedish State in their capacity as a public authority are formally represented in the management of PostNord Group, nor are they directly involved in appointments (including that of the President and Group CEO of PostNord Group (12)). The Board of Directors of PostNord AB (PostNord Group’s parent company), on the other hand, is composed of eight persons (out of 11) nominated by Denmark and Sweden (and appointed by the Annual General Meeting, where both States have 50% of the votes). Two out of eight directors of PostNord AB’s Board are also employed as civil servants (one by Sweden and one by Denmark). The Swedish civil servant is Deputy Director at the department of State-owned enterprises at the Ministry of Enterprise and Innovation. The Danish civil servant is Deputy Director-General at the Ministry of Finance. The corporate links between Denmark, Sweden, the Annual General Meeting, the Board of Directors of PostNord AB and the management of PostNord Group are shown in Figure 2. In addition, the Board of PostNord AB includes also 3 employee elected representatives. Figure 2 Management of PostNord Group
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| (13) | The Board of Directors of PostNord AB is responsible for appointing and dismissing the President and CEO of PostNord Group. The President and CEO of PostNord Group is responsible for day-to-day administration of the company according to the Board’s guidelines and directions. The relationship between the Board of Directors of PostNord AB and the CEO of PostNord Group is governed by the Board’s rules of procedure. The Group Executive Team assists the President and CEO of PostNord Group. |
| (14) | As a rule, Denmark can nominate four directors (‘Red directors’) and Sweden can nominate four directors (‘Yellow directors’) onto the Board of Directors of PostNord AB. The Chairman needs to be agreed upon jointly by both States. In addition the Board of PostNord AB also includes 3 elected employee representatives. This makes 11 Board members that in principle decide by simple majority; exceptions apply for some decisions for which at least one Red and one Yellow director have to vote in favour. None of the directors has a veto and the two civil servants have no special role or different voting power compared to other Board members. Decisions on internal group capital injections exceeding SEK […] (*1) million (approximately EUR […] million) need to have the approval of the Board of Directors of PostNord AB. (13) |
| (15) | For the quorum of board meetings, half of the directors should be present, including at least one director nominated by Denmark and one director nominated by Sweden. |
2.2. The measure under assessment
2.2.1. Description of the 2018 capital injection
| (16) | On 30 November 2018, the Board of PNL recommended a capital injection of DKK 115 million (approximately EUR 15.4 million) to the management of PostNord Group following an extraordinary general meeting on 30 November 2018. During the 2018 autumn, PostNord Group conducted an economic analysis of PNL’s business plan and of the turnaround plan linked to the business plan. The turnaround plan aimed at addressing the negative financial results of the previous years. Based on this analysis, PostNord Group was to decide whether a capital injection into PNL could be a rational and sound investment. This analysis was finalised on 3 December 2018 and resulted in a recommendation from the management of PostNord Group to the Board of Directors of PostNord AB, dated 7 December 2018, to approve the capital injection into PNL by PostNord Group. |
| (17) | On 11 December 2018, the Board of Directors of PostNord AB decided to proceed with the capital injection, to be paid out in several tranches in accordance with the recommendation from PostNord Group’s management. The approval of the Board of Directors of PostNord AB was required because the investment exceeded SEK […] million (see recital (14)). |
| (18) | The 2018 capital injection has been paid to PNL in three tranches:
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2.2.2. ITD’s complaint’s regarding the 2018 capital injection
| (19) | In its complaint, ITD submitted that the 2018 capital injection constitutes State aid pursuant to Article 107(1) TFEU, notably because it is granted from State resources and imputable to Denmark and Sweden and, in addition, because it has not been made on market terms. |
| (20) | In the complainant’s view, the decision of the management of PostNord Group to proceed with the 2018 capital injection was influenced by Denmark and Sweden through the Annual General Meeting and/or the Board of Directors of PostNord AB. In this light, it refers to the conditions set by the Court in its judgments in Stardust (14) and Commerz Nederland (15). |
| (21) | The complainant argues that the 2018 capital injection was imputable to the States because PostNord AB (the ultimate parent company of PNL) is wholly owned by Denmark and Sweden; because the two States nominate their Board members; and because there are two members on the Board who are also employees of the States (see recital (14)). While these arguments refer to PostNord AB and not to PostNord Group, according to the complainant the fact that the decision to inject capital into PNL had to be taken by the Board of Directors of PostNord AB (because it exceeded SEK […] million) confirms that Denmark and Sweden were involved. |
| (22) | The complainant emphasises that the ‘granting date’ of the 2018 capital injection is the date when the 2017 annual report referred in recital (2)(i) was published (16), meaning that the assessment on whether the measure would be market conform needs to have been carried out before June 2018. It alleges that this did not happen. |
| (23) | In addition, the complainant refers to articles in the Danish newspapers Politiken and Berlingske. The complainant claims that the article in Politiken (17) shows that the Danish and Swedish States are not “just” involved in PostNord’s management, but that they are integrated in PostNord’s management decisions to an extent that any important financial business decision with State aid implications by PostNord is directly imputable to Denmark and Sweden. The article in Berlingske (18) allegedly shows that the decision to inject capital was taken by the owners (i.e. Denmark and Sweden) and not by the Board of Directors of PostNord AB independently. The complainant has provided its own translation of part of the article in Berlingske, which reads as follows: “According to the draft Minutes from the meeting, [the Chairman of the Board of Directors of PostNord AB] said that it is the responsibility of the Board of Directors to put forward the facts of the case and inform the owners that “we have a problem”, but that it is not the Board of Directors which adopts the decision about the capital injections – it is a decision by the owners, i.e., the Swedish and Danish States” (Emphasis added by the complainant). |
| (24) | In the same vein, the complainant alleged that Denmark, by having appointed the Deputy Director-General at the Danish Ministry of Finance as Board member, breaches a “crucial principle of the Danish Ministry of Finance”. Subsequently the complainant explained that according to the Danish Ministry of Finance this principle means that, “the main rule is that State employees should not be elected as Board members in State owned companies” (19) . |
| (25) | Finally, the complainant noted that the fact that the replies of Denmark and Sweden to the Commission’s requests for information are partly prepared by PostNord’s management is an indicator for imputability. |
| (26) | As regards the market conformity of the capital injection, the complainant, based on PNL’s financial performance in the 2013-2017 (20) period, deems it inconceivable that a capital injection into PNL would result in any positive return, and thus that a market economy investor would inject capital into PNL. Indeed, the complainant submitted that, due to PNL’ chronic financial losses and negative EBIT over the period 2013-2017, as well as a negative equity in 2017, PNL was in such financial difficulties that no private investor would have contributed capital to it. Moreover, the complainant deems it impossible to argue that the prospects for PNL in the future were good. In this regard, it refers to the “complete financial failure” of one its major investment projects in 2016, namely the acquisition of GP Spedition ApS. As of 22 June 2018, GP Spedition ApS entered into bankruptcy proceedings. |
2.2.3. The assessment of the 2018 capital injection in the 2020 Decision
| (27) | In the 2020 Decision, with reference to the capital injection to PNL, the Commission found that (i) PostNord Group’s financial support to PNL implied the use of State resources because its parent, PostNord AB, is 100% owned by the States, but (ii) in the absence of sufficient indicators of the exercise of actual influence or control by Denmark and Sweden in the capital injection at hand – beyond the mere automatic consequences of public ownership, which are, according to the case law, insufficient to prove imputability – the capital injection to PNL cannot be considered imputable to Denmark and/or Sweden. |
| (28) | As a result, the 2020 Decision concluded that the measure did not constitute State aid for lack of imputability, on the basis of the analysis of 12 factual elements (21). |
2.2.4. The assessment of the 2018 capital injection in the judgment in case T-525/20
| (29) | The judgment in case T-525/20 confirmed that it is apparent from PNL’s annual report for 2018 that the 2018 capital injection had been made by PostNord Group to PNL and that, in view of its amount, the approval of PostNord AB’s Board of Directors was required, in line with the internal rules of PostNord Group (22). |
| (30) | As regards the assessment of the imputability of the 2018 capital injection in the 2020 Decision, the General Court found that the Commission’s examination was incomplete and insufficient as regards (i) the organic links between the Danish and Swedish States and PostNord AB (23), (ii) the nature of PostNord’s activities (24), (iii) the supervision and control exercised by the States over the capital injection approved by PostNord AB, through the existence of a dialogue between the members of PostNord’s Board of Directors and the Danish and Swedish States (25), and (iv) other indicators relating to the unlikely nature of the lack of involvement of the Danish and Swedish States in the capital injection, including its “compass” (i.e., the amount) (26). |
| (31) | With reference in particular to the organic links (see (i) above), the General Court stated that the indicators of an organic nature put forward by the complainant tend to establish that, at the time of the 2018 capital injection to PNL, “[PostNord AB] had a limited degree of independence from the Danish and Swedish States, given that its board of directors was composed of 8 members out of 11 the appointment of whom fell to the ministers of those States, and 2 of whom were, moreover, senior civil servants”, corroborated by the finding that meetings of PostNord AB’s Board of Directors must be attended by at least one member appointed by the Danish State and one member appointed by the Swedish State (27). Therefore, the Commission should have examined other indicators (see recitals (56)-(59))). |
2.2.5. The Danish and Swedish authorities’ position following the judgment in case T-525/20
2.2.5.1.
| (32) | The Danish authorities submitted that during 2024 all activities of PNL have been discontinued. Most of the lines of business of PNL were closed and two minor lines of business were sold on market terms to an external company and to Post Danmark A/S, respectively. Therefore, the company is no longer active in the logistics market or in other markets. This decision is part of PostNord AB's new strategy, aimed at simplifying the product portfolio in Denmark and focusing the business on parcels. Because PNL is no longer active, the board of directors of PNL decided on 1 December 2025 to recommend to the owner, PostNord Group, that a solvent liquidation of PNL should be carried out. |
2.2.5.1.1.
| (33) | The Danish and Swedish authorities have provided the Commission with further arguments that in their view support a conclusion that the 2018 capital injection was not imputable to the States in light of the indicators identified by the General Court in the judgment in case T-525/20. |
| (34) | In a joint submission dated 6 March 2024, the Danish and Swedish authorities described the corporate governance of PostNord AB. In accordance with that information, PostNord AB is a Swedish limited liability company and, like privately owned companies, is subject to the Swedish Companies Act (28) as the overall framework, with the general meeting as the company’s highest decision-making body. The Swedish State-owned companies, like privately owned companies in Sweden, are therefore independent legal entities and the Government is not entitled to instruct a State-owned company, or its Board of Directors, to act in a certain way other than through the general meeting. The Danish State is represented at the general shareholder’s meeting by the Minister of Transport or his deputy, whereas the Swedish State is represented by power of attorney issued by decision of the Ministry of Finance (29). |
| (35) | The Danish and Swedish authorities submit that the decision to appoint Board members in PostNord AB is made by the general meeting of PostNord AB. The Danish State has 50% of the votes and the Swedish State has the other 50%. In this context, there normally is a mutual understanding between the two State owners regarding the 8 Board members in PostNord AB nominated by the States. The Danish and Swedish authorities further submit that the eight Board members in PostNord AB appointed by the general meeting are all characterized as independent Board members and that there are no “government appointed” members on the Board. On the contrary, all Board members are appointed in accordance with the Swedish Companies Act (30), which applies to both private companies and State-owned companies. Also the directors nominated by the Danish State are fully subject to the rules laid down in the Swedish Company Act because PostNord AB is subject to Swedish law. According to the Swedish State’s Ownership Policy (31), the nominees are selected from a broad recruitment base in order to utilise the expertise of women and men, as well as individuals of various backgrounds and experiences, including the ones employed with the Government Offices (32). Indeed, the Board nomination process of State-owned companies, including PostNord AB was (at the time) coordinated by the Swedish Ministry of Enterprise and Innovation at the Government Offices and a dialogue/contact is also established with the Danish State (represented by the Danish Ministry of Transport Government Office officials) (33). In addition to the 8 Board members nominated by the two States, there are also 3 employee representatives and 3 employee representative deputies. |
| (36) | Furthermore, it follows from the Danish State’s Ownership Policy of April 2015 (34) that the Board and management of companies under State ownership are responsible for running the company on behalf of the owners. This document outlines the framework, expectations, and recommendations on how the Danish State would exercise its ownership in State-owned companies, whether wholly or majority-owned. It aims to ensure a structured and consistent approach across all ministries and to support value creation and good corporate governance in State-owned companies. Some of these recommendations, which are not compulsory, are the following:
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| (37) | The Swedish State exercises its ownership in State-owned companies in accordance with the Swedish Companies Act, which is supplemented by the Swedish’s State Ownership Policy (40), which sets out the Government’s mandates and objectives, applicable frameworks and important issues of principle regarding the corporate governance of State-owned enterprises. In particular, with reference to the Swedish’s State Ownership Policy, the Swedish authorities submit that:
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| (38) | Furthermore, the Swedish authorities submit that the Swedish State was not informed about the 2018 capital injection beforehand and was not involved in the transfer. Directors nominated by the States are not subject to any special voting rules and had no right of veto in the case at hand. Certain exceptions in the Shareholders’ Agreement in relation to voting rights were not applicable at the time the decision at issue was adopted. Under Article 3.9.1 of the Shareholders’ Agreement, a simple majority was required for a decision such as the one at issue on the 2018 capital injection. The influence over the decision-making on PostNord AB’s Board could have taken place only by coordinated joint action by the Danish and Swedish States . However, there has been no such joint action. Nor has there been any coordination between PostNord AB’s Board and the Swedish State as owner prior to or in connection with the decision in question nor have the Board members nominated by the Swedish State been subject to any instructions from the State regarding the capital injection at issue. |
| (39) | In accordance to the States, there are no specific reporting obligations of the Board to the State owners. In the Danish and Swedish’s view, both owners are regularly informed about the company's performance at formal regular meetings, so called “owner’s dialogues” as well as quarterly ownership meetings regarding, amongst others, the company’s quarterly accounts, in which the company's management and chairman of the Board also participate (46). “Owner’s dialogues” meetings were introduced after an agreement of 20 October 2017 between the Danish State and the Swedish State (“October Agreement”) (47). This institutionalized “owner’s dialogue” serves to track and follow-up any public policy targets and financial targets of the company (such targets are decided upon by the general shareholder’s meeting and in case of PostNord AB only consist of financial targets). A matter can also be brought to the attention of the Ministry of Enterprise and Innovation (Department of ownership of State-owned enterprises) by the chairman of the Board on an ad-hoc basis in order to inform on important issues that are deemed vital and natural for an owner to be aware of. |
| (40) | According to Article 4.3 of the Rules of Procedure of the Board of PostNord AB (48) (“Rules of Procedure”), the Board of Directors of PostNord AB shall “[…]” It is the Board that shall assess in which cases a strategic review should take place and shall initiate the so called “coordination responsibility”. Consequently, according to the Swedish authorities, it is not for the States (in their capacity as owners or otherwise) to decide whether or not e.g. a bankruptcy of a subsidiary like PNL, or its rescue, would – in any case –. |
| (41) | The Danish authorities argue that, although two of the members of PostNord AB’s Board were civil servants at the time of the 2018 capital injection, this does not alter the fact that any interaction between the Board and the States adhered to the arm’s length principle. |
2.2.5.1.2.
| (42) | The Danish authorities submit that:
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| (43) | The Swedish authorities submit that:
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2.2.5.2.
| (44) | The Danish and Swedish authorities submit that the 2018 capital injection into PNL of approximately DKK 115 million (EUR 15.4 million) did not confer an economic advantage on PNL, since the measure complies with the Market Economy Investor Principle (“MEIP”). |
| (45) | Both States’ authorities reiterate that, as they had noted in the procedure leading to the adoption of the 2020 Decision, prior to deciding on the 2018 capital injection, PostNord AB’s Mergers and Acquisitions department undertook a thorough economic evaluation of the profitability of the capital injection and such evaluation clearly demonstrates that it was a rational business decision for PostNord AB to proceed with the 2018 capital injection. Thus, the capital injection is the result of normal market economic behaviour of PostNord AB. |
| (46) | Indeed, on 30 November 2018, PNL’ Board recommended that PostNord Group AB should inject the necessary capital into PNL. Based on the economic analysis finalised on 3 December 2018 of PNL’ business plan and turnaround plan, PostNord Group’s management concluded that a capital injection would be rational and sound. PostNord Group’s mandate to provide the capital injection was approved by PostNord AB on 11 December 2018. The capital injection was treated as an equity investment and assessed against a rational investor’s cost of equity. The valuation was carried out using a Cash-Flow-to-Equity model in which cash generated was retained in the company and offset in the net-debt calculation at an assumed exit date. The exit value was derived using a multiples-based approach, and the cost of equity applied was calculated under the CAPM framework. The economic analysis finalised on 3 December 2018 concluded that the capital injection was economically rational and produced satisfactory IRR and NPV, even after applying additional risk adjustments to the company’s business plan to ensure prudence in the decision (see Figure 3). This conclusion held both when the analysis considered the company’s stand-alone cash flows and when it included the effects of insolvency in a counterfactual scenario (see Figure 4). Figure 3 Cash flows and Equity NPV with the 2018 capital injection in the adjusted business plan Figure 4 NPV of the insolvency scenario – Insolvency effects |